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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 45.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
45.03% ( -0.12) | 28.7% ( 0.2) | 26.27% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.65% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.91% ( -0.65) | 63.09% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.47% ( -0.47) | 82.53% ( 0.48) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( -0.37) | 28.05% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( -0.48) | 63.7% ( 0.48) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% ( -0.43) | 40.73% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( -0.39) | 77.31% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
| 1-0 @ 14.52% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 45.03% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.29% Total : 26.27% |
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