Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
37.37% ( -1.19) | 23.89% ( 0.47) | 38.74% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 61.89% ( -1.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.68% ( -2.33) | 40.32% ( 2.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.31% ( -2.45) | 62.69% ( 2.45) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% ( -1.6) | 21.66% ( 1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.2% ( -2.51) | 54.8% ( 2.52) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.01% ( -0.67) | 20.99% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.24% ( -1.06) | 53.76% ( 1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.37% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.47) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 38.74% |
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