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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 61.74%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 19.8% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Burnley |
61.74% ( -0.08) | 18.45% ( 0.09) | 19.8% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 67.91% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.43% ( -0.44) | 26.56% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.06% ( -0.56) | 46.93% ( 0.56) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.49% ( -0.14) | 8.51% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.52% ( -0.35) | 29.47% ( 0.36) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( -0.27) | 25.77% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( -0.37) | 60.71% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Burnley |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.96% Total : 61.74% | 1-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.45% | 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 19.8% |
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