SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
32.21% ( -0.42) | 23.65% ( 0.04) | 44.14% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 61.49% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.68% ( -0.34) | 40.32% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.31% ( -0.35) | 62.69% ( 0.35) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( -0.41) | 24.48% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( -0.58) | 58.92% ( 0.59) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( 0.03) | 18.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.15% ( 0.05) | 49.85% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.21% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 44.14% |
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