SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Burnley |
23.99% ( 0.06) | 24.25% ( 0) | 51.76% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% ( 0.05) | 48.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% ( 0.05) | 70.62% ( -0.04) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( 0.08) | 34.64% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% ( 0.09) | 71.37% ( -0.08) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( 0) | 18.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.91% ( -0) | 50.09% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 23.99% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.75% |
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