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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
NL

Burnley
vs.
Newcastle

 
Coverage of the Premier League clash between Burnley and Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 36.16% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.73%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Burnley win is 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.43%).

Result
BurnleyDrawNewcastle United
36.16% (0.716 0.72) 23.4% (0.192 0.19) 40.44% (-0.90799999999999 -0.91)
Both teams to score 63.62% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.97% (-0.83600000000001 -0.84)38.03% (0.837 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.71% (-0.895 -0.9)60.29% (0.895 0.89)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)21.25% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)54.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.746 -0.75)19.22% (0.745 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08% (-1.248 -1.25)50.92% (1.247 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 36.16%
    Newcastle United 40.44%
    Draw 23.4%
BurnleyDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 6.33% (0.247 0.25)
2-0 @ 4.9% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 36.16%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.161 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 40.44%

Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-4 Burnley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Wolves
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Burnley
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Spurs
Saturday, April 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Newcastle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 Everton
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-3 West Ham
Saturday, March 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League


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