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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
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Spurs
2 - 1
Burnley

Porro (32'), van de Ven (82')
Maddison (47'), Skipp (55'), Sarr (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bruun Larsen (25')
Cullen (11'), Taylor (46'), Berge (65'), Bruun Larsen (67'), Sarr (90'), Assignon (90+1'), Kompany (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 4-2 Spurs
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Newcastle
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tottenham Hotspur.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawBurnley
69.21% (-0.227 -0.23) 16.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 14.7% (0.157 0.16)
Both teams to score 66.07% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.65% (0.018999999999991 0.02)24.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.94% (0.027000000000001 0.03)44.06% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.53% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)6.47% (0.034 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.82% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)24.18% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (0.20099999999999 0.2)29.36% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65% (0.246 0.25)65.35% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 69.21%
    Burnley 14.7%
    Draw 16.09%
Tottenham HotspurDrawBurnley
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 7.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.5% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 5.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.88% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 3.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.83%
4-3 @ 1.37% (0.011 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 69.21%
1-1 @ 6.37% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.9% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 16.09%
1-2 @ 3.9% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.43% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 14.7%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 4-2 Spurs
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Spurs
Thursday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-3 Arsenal
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Spurs
Saturday, April 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, April 7 at 6pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Spurs
Tuesday, April 2 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Newcastle
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-4 Burnley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Wolves
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League


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