Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.