Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
-0.05) 
0.03) 
