Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Caen had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
-0.3) 
0.17) 
