SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Concarneau |
| 48.46% | 25.47% | 26.06% |
| Both teams to score 51.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.21% | 51.79% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.44% ( 0) | 73.55% ( -0) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( -0) | 21.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.63% | 54.36% ( -0) |
| Concarneau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% | 34.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.61% | 71.38% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Concarneau |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.4% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 1% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.06% |
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