No matter what time of the season, Cagliari are generally tough to beat on Sardinian soil, and a fairly settled squad should start the 2024-25 campaign with a win; little Carrarese are Serie B newcomers and lack experience against top-tier opposition.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
-0.44) 
0.47) 
