SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Cagliari |
41.26% ( 0.12) | 25.07% ( -0.06) | 33.67% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% ( 0.24) | 46.43% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( 0.22) | 68.71% ( -0.22) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( 0.17) | 22.43% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.05% ( 0.24) | 55.95% ( -0.24) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.08) | 26.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.27% ( 0.1) | 61.73% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.67% |
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