Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
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