While the loss of Luca Connell could certainly hurt Barnsley, the rejuvenated Reds should still have more than enough quality to get past a Cambridge side wounded by a derby thrashing last week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
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