Barnsley may be competing in the league above Port Vale, but we think they could experience a tough outing at Vale Park on Saturday.
Having gone 11 games without defeat, we believe the hosts will hold the Tykes to a draw to take the tie to extra time where the benefit of their home support could help them get over the line against their League One opponents.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 31.63% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.87%).
-0.06) 
0.01) 
