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League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
RL

Barnsley
2 - 0
Rotherham

Russell (32'), Humphrys (86')
Connell (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kelly (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Rotherham United

Barnsley tend to fare well in matches against Rotherham, and we think that the Tykes make full use of home advantage to clinch all three points and record a fifth consecutive win in head-to-head meetings with the Millers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawRotherham United
36.82% (-0.108 -0.11) 24.77% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 38.4% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.35599999999999 0.36)44.61% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.02% (0.343 0.34)66.98% (-0.345 -0.34)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (0.10299999999999 0.1)23.88% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (0.15 0.15)58.08% (-0.153 -0.15)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.255 0.25)23.05% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.371 0.37)56.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 36.83%
    Rotherham United 38.4%
    Draw 24.77%
BarnsleyDrawRotherham United
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rotherham 1-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Rotherham
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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