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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
NT

Cambridge
1 - 1
Northampton

Kachunga (16')
Digby (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Guthrie (82')
Brady (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Northampton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Northampton Town

Garry Monk will hope to have an immediate impact on a Cambridge United side desperate for points, but they face a tough test against a wounded Northampton Town team who have enjoyed a strong campaign thus far. We cannot quite pick a winner in Saturday's meeting at the Abbey Stadium and see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
47.71% (0.846 0.85) 24.97% (-0.203 -0.2) 27.32% (-0.639 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.178 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (0.456 0.46)48.88% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (0.411 0.41)70.98% (-0.407 -0.41)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.553 0.55)20.53% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.86499999999999 0.86)53.03% (-0.861 -0.86)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.247 -0.25)32.11% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.284 -0.28)68.58% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 47.7%
    Northampton Town 27.32%
    Draw 24.97%
Cambridge UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.137 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 27.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bolton
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Cambridge
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Northampton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Northampton
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 4-3 Northampton
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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