Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Brazil Women had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Brazil Women win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.