SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden Women | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | USA Women | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Australia Women | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | New Zealand Women | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands Women | 3 | 13 | 7 |
| 2 | Brazil Women | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Zambia Women | 3 | -8 | 1 |
| 4 | China PR Women | 3 | -11 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Brazil Women had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Brazil Women win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA Women | Draw | Brazil Women |
60.8% ( -0.94) | 22.52% ( 0.08) | 16.67% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 47.24% ( 1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.38% ( 1.12) | 50.62% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% ( 0.98) | 72.53% ( -0.98) |
| USA Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( 0.07) | 16.22% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.28% ( 0.13) | 45.71% ( -0.13) |
| Brazil Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.39% ( 1.81) | 43.61% ( -1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.2% ( 1.46) | 79.8% ( -1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA Women | Draw | Brazil Women |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.56) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.48)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 60.8% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.67% |
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