Although they were denied all three points by a last-minute equaliser, Cardiff showed some very promising signs against Leeds last week, and we expect them to breeze through on Wednesday night.
Colchester were very poor in League Two last season, and while it is difficult to gauge whether they have improved since then, they are unlikely to win away against a team two divisions above them.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%).
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