Carlisle United will be desperate to complete the double over Bolton Wanderers after their shock win in October, and given their need for points in the fight for survival, but we see them being outclassed by Evatt's side who have their sights set on automatic promotion and quality in abundance throughout their squad.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
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