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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
WW

Carlisle
1 - 3
Wycombe

McCalmont (28')
Neal (4'), Dudik (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCleary (15', 75'), Kone (49')
Botts (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers

With relegation already confirmed, Wycombe are cruising towards the season's end, and we are expecting another limp performance from the Cumbrians on the weekend. The Chairboys are continuing to push on following their EFL Trophy heartbreak earlier in the month, and we reckon that they will pick up a third straight win at Brunton Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
21.72% (0.0040000000000013 0) 24.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 54.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.48% (0.0040000000000049 0)50.51% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.43% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.88% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.65% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13%49.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 21.72%
    Wycombe Wanderers 54.08%
    Draw 24.18%
Carlisle UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 6.84%
2-1 @ 5.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.32%
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.72%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 5.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.43%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-4 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-3 Carlisle
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Stevenage
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Wycombe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Derby
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Wycombe
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Wycombe
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-3 Portsmouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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