Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Ascoli
53.11% ( -0.04)	24.66% ( -0)	22.23% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 49.78% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.11% (

0.07)

51.88% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.36% (

0.06)

73.64% (

-0.06)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.5% (

0.01)

19.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.63% (

0.02)

51.37% (

-0.02)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.84% (

0.09)

38.16% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.07% (

0.08)

74.92% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 53.1%

Ascoli 22.23%

Draw 24.66%

Catanzaro	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.1%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 22.23%