Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reggiana in this match.
Result | ||
Reggiana | Draw | Catanzaro |
39.23% ( -0.11) | 26.67% ( 0.13) | 34.09% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.8% ( -0.56) | 53.19% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.24% ( -0.48) | 74.76% ( 0.47) |
Reggiana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% ( -0.32) | 26.51% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.29% ( -0.42) | 61.7% ( 0.42) |
Catanzaro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% ( -0.3) | 29.56% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.41% ( -0.36) | 65.58% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Reggiana | Draw | Catanzaro |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.23% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.09% |
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