SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reggiana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Reggiana | Draw | Catanzaro |
39.23% ( -0.11) | 26.67% ( 0.13) | 34.09% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.8% ( -0.56) | 53.19% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.24% ( -0.48) | 74.76% ( 0.47) |
| Reggiana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( -0.32) | 26.51% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.29% ( -0.42) | 61.7% ( 0.42) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( -0.3) | 29.56% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% ( -0.36) | 65.58% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reggiana | Draw | Catanzaro |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.23% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.09% |
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