SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ascoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Catanzaro |
41.92% ( -0.01) | 26.37% ( 0.02) | 31.71% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.47% ( -0.06) | 52.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.8% ( -0.05) | 74.2% ( 0.06) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( -0.03) | 24.78% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.64% ( -0.05) | 59.36% ( 0.05) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( -0.03) | 30.8% ( 0.03) |
