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Serie B | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Parma
1 - 1
Ascoli

Viviano (70' og.)
Mihaila (50'), Di Chiara (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Botteghin (60')
Masini (30'), Bellusci (73'), Quaranta (80')
Bellusci (90+3')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brescia 0-2 Parma
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 0-0 Cittadella
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawAscoli
58.09% (0.101 0.1) 24.54% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 17.37% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Both teams to score 42.97% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.91% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)57.09% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03% (-0.07 -0.07)77.97% (0.068999999999988 0.07)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)19.57% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.49% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.42% (-0.167 -0.17)46.57% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.83% (-0.13 -0.13)82.16% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Parma 58.08%
    Ascoli 17.37%
    Draw 24.54%
ParmaDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 14.86% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 12.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 58.08%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.9% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 17.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brescia 0-2 Parma
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 3-1 Ternana
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 0-0 Parma
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 3-3 Palermo
Sunday, December 10 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Parma (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Spezia 0-1 Parma
Saturday, December 2 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 0-0 Cittadella
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 1-0 Ascoli
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 1-0 Catanzaro
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 1-2 Spezia
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 3-1 Ascoli
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggiana 1-1 Ascoli
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in Serie B


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