SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Flora had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Flora win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celje in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celje.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Flora |
49.56% ( 1.23) | 22.61% ( -0) | 27.83% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 62.5% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.85) | 37.81% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% ( -0.92) | 60.06% ( 0.92) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( 0.12) | 15.55% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.51% ( 0.22) | 44.48% ( -0.22) |
| Flora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( -1.24) | 26% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.98% ( -1.69) | 61.02% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Flora |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.87% Total : 49.56% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.83% |
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