SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 54.65%. A win for Celje had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Celje |
54.65% ( 1.64) | 22.16% ( -0.5) | 23.18% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.92% ( 1.1) | 40.08% ( -1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.55% ( 1.13) | 62.45% ( -1.13) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( 0.93) | 14.64% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.23% ( 1.76) | 42.76% ( -1.76) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( -0.34) | 30.73% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( -0.41) | 66.98% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.12% Total : 54.65% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.86% Total : 23.18% |
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