SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | NK Domzale |
70.17% ( 0.31) | 17.18% ( -0.15) | 12.65% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.85% ( 0.31) | 35.15% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.84% ( 0.34) | 57.15% ( -0.34) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.04% ( 0.15) | 8.96% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.43% ( 0.36) | 30.57% ( -0.36) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( -0.04) | 39.57% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% ( -0.04) | 76.25% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | NK Domzale |
| 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.73% Total : 70.17% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.18% | 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 12.65% |
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