SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 69.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 12.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
69.79% ( 0.05) | 17.35% ( -0.09) | 12.86% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.56% ( 0.59) | 35.44% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.52% ( 0.65) | 57.48% ( -0.65) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.88% ( 0.16) | 9.12% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.04% ( 0.39) | 30.96% ( -0.39) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.57% ( 0.46) | 39.43% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.87% ( 0.43) | 76.13% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
| 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 69.79% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.35% | 1-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 12.86% |
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