SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Peterhead |
63.18% ( -6.38) | 19.41% ( 2.19) | 17.4% ( 4.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.24% ( 2.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.49% ( -1.63) | 35.51% ( 1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.44% ( -1.83) | 57.55% ( 1.83) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.27% ( -1.96) | 10.73% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.32% ( -4.58) | 34.68% ( 4.58) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( 4.24) | 33.63% ( -4.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.71% ( 4.37) | 70.28% ( -4.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.85)1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.46)3-0 @ 6.69% ( -1.29)4-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.65)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 3.73% ( -1.13)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.48)5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.7)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.91% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.93) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.7)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.23)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.41% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.97) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.71)0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.58)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.5)Other @ 2.87% Total : 17.4% |
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