SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.94%) and 0-1 (5.86%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
29.91% ( -1.14) | 21.65% ( 0.08) | 48.44% ( 1.05) |
| Both teams to score 67.72% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.37% ( -1.09) | 31.63% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.87% ( -1.3) | 53.13% ( 1.3) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -1.18) | 21.56% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.35% ( -1.84) | 54.64% ( 1.84) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.34% ( -0.06) | 13.66% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.14% ( -0.12) | 40.85% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.51% Total : 29.91% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)2-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
