SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Gabon win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gabon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Central African Republic | Draw | Gabon |
47.26% ( 0.92) | 25.34% ( 0.12) | 27.4% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( -1.1) | 50.35% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% ( -0.98) | 72.29% ( 0.99) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( -0.05) | 21.32% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.73% ( -0.07) | 54.27% ( 0.08) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( -1.37) | 32.82% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( -1.55) | 69.38% ( 1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central African Republic | Draw | Gabon |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.26% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.52% Total : 27.4% |
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