SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central African Republic | Draw | Morocco |
32.39% ( -1.58) | 28.72% ( 0.21) | 38.89% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 45.31% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.87% ( -0.96) | 61.12% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.91% ( -0.72) | 81.09% ( 0.72) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( -1.61) | 34.78% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.49% ( -1.73) | 71.51% ( 1.73) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% ( 0.34) | 30.52% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.25% ( 0.41) | 66.75% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central African Republic | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.2% Total : 32.39% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.71% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.88% |
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