Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Truro City win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Truro City |
59.24% ( 0.02) | 21.83% ( -0) | 18.94% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.72% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% ( 0.01) | 44.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% ( 0.01) | 66.56% ( -0.01) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% ( 0.01) | 14.55% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.4% ( 0.02) | 42.6% ( -0.01) |
Truro City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% ( -0) | 37.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.08% ( -0) | 73.92% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Chelmsford City | Draw | Truro City |
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.16% 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 59.22% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.82% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.94% |
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