Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
59.63% ( -0.05) | 22.62% ( 0.03) | 17.75% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.03% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.67% ( -0.12) | 49.33% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.62% ( -0.11) | 71.38% ( 0.1) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.83% ( -0.06) | 16.17% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.37% ( -0.11) | 45.63% ( 0.1) |
Chippenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.49% ( -0.05) | 41.51% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.99% ( -0.05) | 78.01% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Chelmsford City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 59.62% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.75% |
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