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National League South | Gameweek 18
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City
2 - 2
Chippenham
Jenkins (43'), Fasanmade (90+3' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ellison (26'), Windsor (71')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Chippenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-1 Farnborough
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawChippenham Town
59.63% (-0.052 -0.05) 22.62% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 17.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.03% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (-0.12 -0.12)49.33% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (-0.108 -0.11)71.38% (0.102 0.1)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)16.17% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.37% (-0.107 -0.11)45.63% (0.102 0.1)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)41.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.99% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)78.01% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 59.62%
    Chippenham Town 17.75%
    Draw 22.62%
Chelmsford CityDrawChippenham Town
1-0 @ 12.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 59.62%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 17.75%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-3 Dover Athletic
Monday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-1 Farnborough
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 4-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-0 Chippenham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-2 St Albans City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-4 Dartford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South

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