SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Chelmsford City |
34.11% ( 0.21) | 25.42% ( -0.04) | 40.47% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% ( 0.22) | 47.9% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( 0.2) | 70.07% ( -0.2) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( 0.23) | 26.97% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% ( 0.31) | 62.31% ( -0.31) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( 0.01) | 23.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% ( 0.02) | 57.47% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.47% |
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