SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Chelmsford City |
33.47% ( -0.25) | 26.05% ( 0.06) | 40.47% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.22% ( -0.33) | 50.77% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.33% ( -0.29) | 72.67% ( 0.28) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -0.32) | 28.76% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( -0.4) | 64.6% ( 0.39) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( -0.05) | 24.74% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% ( -0.07) | 59.3% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.47% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.47% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
