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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chelmsford City |
31.05% ( -0.1) | 25.4% ( -0.05) | 43.55% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( 0.18) | 48.74% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( 0.16) | 70.84% ( -0.16) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 0.03) | 29.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( 0.03) | 65.32% ( -0.03) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( 0.15) | 22.32% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.2% ( 0.22) | 55.8% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.05% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.55% |
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