SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 10.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
73.85% ( 1.35) | 15.68% ( -0.55) | 10.47% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.01% ( 0.33) | 33.99% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.15% ( 0.37) | 55.85% ( -0.36) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.13% ( 0.37) | 7.87% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.13% ( 0.92) | 27.87% ( -0.91) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.56% ( -1.2) | 42.44% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.18% ( -1.04) | 78.82% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
| 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.34)1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.21)5-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.11)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.15% Total : 73.85% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.68% | 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.47% |
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