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Women's Super League | Gameweek 12
May 3, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
2 - 1
Liverpool Women

Charles (41'), Kerr (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koivisto (2')
Koivisto (34'), Kirby (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 Chelsea Women
Thursday, April 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Leicester Women 4-0 Liverpool Women
Saturday, April 29 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Liverpool Women

After being thrashed by Man United, Liverpool will be keen to offer some sort of improvement against Chelsea, and although we think that the scoreline will be much closer than last weekend, we still expect the Blues to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 12.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawLiverpool Women
69.86% (-0.124 -0.12) 17.46% (0.324 0.32) 12.67% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54% (-1.917 -1.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (-2.136 -2.14)36.49% (2.14 2.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (-2.369 -2.37)58.63% (2.374 2.37)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.62% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)9.37% (0.582 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.43% (-1.394 -1.39)31.56% (1.397 1.4)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58% (-1.722 -1.72)40.42% (1.726 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-1.598 -1.6)77.03% (1.602 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 69.86%
    Liverpool Women 12.67%
    Draw 17.46%
Chelsea WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-0 @ 10.61% (0.56 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.698 0.7)
3-0 @ 8.38% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.59% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-0 @ 4.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 4.49% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.237 -0.24)
5-0 @ 2.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.13% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.199 -0.2)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.123 -0.12)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 69.86%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.387 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.46%
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.43% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 1.56% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 12.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 Chelsea Women
Thursday, April 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 16 at 2.15pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 2 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-2 Lyon (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-0 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 26 at 12.40pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 4-0 Liverpool Women
Saturday, April 29 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 2-1 Brighton Women
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Liverpool Women
Sunday, April 2 at 5pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-1 Liverpool Women
Friday, March 24 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 2-1 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-0 Liverpool Women
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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