Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
69.86% ( -0.12) | 17.46% ( 0.32) | 12.67% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 54% ( -1.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.51% ( -2.14) | 36.49% ( 2.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.37% ( -2.37) | 58.63% ( 2.37) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% ( -0.58) | 9.37% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.43% ( -1.39) | 31.56% ( 1.4) |
Liverpool Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.58% ( -1.72) | 40.42% ( 1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.97% ( -1.6) | 77.03% ( 1.6) |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.7) 3-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.2) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.42% Total : 69.86% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.46% | 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.58% Total : 12.67% |
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