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League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
BL

Cheltenham
0 - 3
Bolton


Davies (29'), Smith (39')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Charles (15', 33'), Smith (30' og.)
Ross Evatt (30'), Adeboyejo (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-2 Bolton Wanderers

It is still very early in the season, but Bolton were excellent in their division opener and look well-equipped to make a strong push for the title in 2023-24. Cheltenham, meanwhile, appear short in a number of areas, and we are expecting the visitors to claim all three points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBolton Wanderers
14.05% (-0.036 -0.04) 21.26% (0.004999999999999 0) 64.68% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.12% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)50.26% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (-0.087 -0.09)72.21% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.98% (-0.116 -0.12)47.01% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.5% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)82.5% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)14.83% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.87% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)43.12% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 14.05%
    Bolton Wanderers 64.66%
    Draw 21.26%
Cheltenham TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 5.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 3.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 14.05%
1-1 @ 10.04%
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.26%
0-1 @ 13.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 12.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.08% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.86% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.47%
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 64.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Birmingham
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 West Brom
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-2 Charlton
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Barrow
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-3 West Brom
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Everton
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Bolton
Friday, May 19 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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