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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
B

Bolton
1 - 0
Barrow

Ashworth (44')
Thomason (32'), Mendes Gomes (60'), Coleman (90+3'), Iredale (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ray (43'), Warren (47'), Feely (67'), Spence (71')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Tranmere 1-2 Barrow
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarrow
47.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.6% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)77.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)23.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92% (0.014999999999993 0.01)58.08% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.45% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 47.43%
    Barrow 25.86%
    Draw 26.69%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 12.8%
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 47.43%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.86%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-3 West Brom
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Everton
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Bolton
Friday, May 19 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Bolton
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Tranmere 1-2 Barrow
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Preston
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Stevenage
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Barrow
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Barrow
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two


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