A closely-contested match between two out-of-form teams is in store this weekend, but taking into account the visitors' struggles in front of goal and the hosts' necessity to collect all three points in their quest to avoid the drop, we believe that Cheltenham will find a way to come out on top.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
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