SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Larne |
34.86% ( -0.12) | 28.43% ( -0.05) | 36.71% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.5% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.17% ( 0.16) | 59.83% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.89% ( 0.13) | 80.11% ( -0.12) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( 0) | 32.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.09% ( 0) | 68.91% |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( 0.19) | 31.21% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.45% ( 0.22) | 67.55% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.86% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.71% |
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