Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Cliftonville
41.86% ( 0.2)	24.54% ( 0.07)	33.6% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 58.83% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.97% (

-0.38)

44.03% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.59% (

-0.37)

66.41% (

0.38)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89% (

-0.07)

21.11% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.05% (

-0.11)

53.95% (

0.11)

Cliftonville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

-0.33)

25.43% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

-0.46)

60.25% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 41.86%

Cliftonville 33.6%

Draw 24.54%

Crusaders	Draw	Cliftonville
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.86%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.6%