SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Cliftonville |
45.62% ( 0.06) | 24.24% ( 0.02) | 30.14% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( -0.15) | 44% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% ( -0.15) | 66.38% ( 0.15) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( -0.04) | 19.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.72% ( -0.06) | 51.28% ( 0.06) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( -0.13) | 27.58% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0.17) | 63.11% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 45.62% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.14% |
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