SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Cliftonville |
32.14% ( -0.09) | 24.92% ( -0.04) | 42.95% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.79% ( 0.14) | 46.21% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.49% ( 0.13) | 68.51% ( -0.13) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( 0.01) | 27.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( 0.01) | 62.84% ( -0.01) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( 0.12) | 21.54% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( 0.19) | 54.61% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.95% |
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