SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club America | Draw | New England Revolution |
62.2% ( 0.11) | 19.71% ( -0.04) | 18.09% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.55% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.24% ( 0.07) | 35.76% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.17% ( 0.07) | 57.84% ( -0.06) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( 0.05) | 11.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.59% ( 0.1) | 35.41% ( -0.09) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( -0.02) | 33.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.36% ( -0.03) | 69.64% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club America | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.77% Total : 62.2% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.71% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 18.09% |
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